What a U.S. Open! Dustin Johnson on fire out of the gates, but falling back to the pack on moving day, while Patrick Reed, Tommy Fleetwood, Tony Finau and eventual repeat champion Brooks Koepka dueled on Sunday, with Brooks coolly avoiding mistakes down the stretch to raise the trophy.
The PGA Tour now returns to Connecticut at TPC River Highlands in Cromwell for the Traveler’s Open. Though Shinnecock Hills and River Highlands are both Par 70s, their similarities end there. Shinnecock is one of the most challenging golf courses in the USA, while this week’s event will see a resumption of more normal scoring – and a chance at some crazy low scores, if you pick just right.
My analysis is trending towards scrambling, Shots Gained: Approach, and guys who have historically good iron games. Some say there might be a hangover from the US Open last week, and I tend to think that is true to an extent.
Jordan Spieth ($10,600 – DraftKings, $11,500 – FanDuel)
Speith has been, frankly, a pretty big disappointment over the past month for DFG purposes, summarized very well by his two bogeys on 17 and 18 that had him miss the US Open cut by a single stroke. At some point he will figure it all out again, and I’m taking the chance that it could be this week, a course where he’s comfortable and a course where he won (last year).
Paul Casey ($9,600 – DraftKings, $11,200 – FanDuel)
Will he be hung over from the US Open? Will his back hold up? Possibly and probably, but I can’t get over the fact that if you had to design a golfer that could go low here for one or more rounds – tremendous approach game, and solid world-class game – that golfer would look a lot like Paul Casey.
Patrick Cantlay ($8,400 – DraftKings, $10,600 – FanDuel)
Ignore last week’s missed cut at the US Open – Cantlay should snap back into his birdie-generating form here in Connecticut on a course that has suited him in the past. As you’ll note from the FanDuel/DraftKings price discrepancy, he’s a total steal on DraftKings salary-wise.
Brian Harman ($8,300 – DraftKings, $10,100 – FanDuel)
In that same vein as Cantlay is Brian Harman, who has the approach game to contend all four days and is extra motivated this week as he tries to maneuver for a Ryder Cup place. Fresh off a T36 in the US Open, I don’t see a hangover here.
Keegan Bradley ($7,900 – DraftKings, $9,700 – FanDuel)
I absolutely love the under 8k tier in DraftKings this week, and topping my value list is one of the top Shots Gained; Approach guys right now on the PGA Tour in Keegan Bradley. He needs to jump to a great start on Thursday morning and get a jump on the field, but if he does he should be a great price performer this week.
Graeme McDowell ($7,400 – DraftKings, $8,400 – FanDuel)
GMac is priced down after missing the cut last week in the US Open, but he has been playing tremendous golf and had a heroic Round 2 70 last week (after a disastrous +9 on Thursday) to miss the cut by one. GMac nearly ground his way into the weekend playing the bad side of the wind draw, which impressed me a lot. If he can bring just a part of that up to Connecticut this weekend, this short-course maven won’t just contend, he could win it outright.
Other Notables I Like:
Luke List ($7,900 DK, $9,800 FD) – I like Luke List again now that he’s at Luke List prices playing at a Luke List tournament!
Chesson Hadley ($7,300 DK, $9,500 FD) – Love his Shots Gained: Approach numbers and his price
Joel Dahmen ($7,200 DK, $8,400 FD) – More of a salary saver on FanDuel rather than DraftKings, he had 3 T20s before missing the cut at the St. Jude’s Classic two weeks ago, which broke a streak of eight made cuts. I think he starts a brand new made cut streak this week