Only 3 games last night? No problem! Danilo Gallinari was only a couple of points away from hitting value, but both LeBron James and Pascal Siakam capitalized on great spots just like we predicted yesterday at Shootaround. The job should be easier in today’s 11-game slate, which offers a very big player pool that features a lot of teams to choose from. Here is your daily breakdown:
Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics -13: Total 206
Look at that spread… Look at that total points value… Look at those teams… We have no business in this one.
TOP PICK: Nobody.
Utah Jazz at Charlotte Hornets -2: Total 217.5
Both of these teams suck at defending opposing point guards, with the Jazz being dead last in PG FPs allowed and the Hornets sitting at 27th. Kemba Walker ($8,800) is the obvious play, as he is an early candidate for the MVP award; however, Ricky Rubio ($6,300) is perhaps the risky play of the night. He has been extremely inconsistent this season, but tonight he is the type of player to win a GPP if you take the immense risk he holds as he faces some of the worst point guard defense in the league. Other than him, Rudy Gobert ($8,000) is another lock, as he faces the worst center defense in the league; Joe Ingles ($5,400) has been posting nice all-around stat lines and it is only a matter of time before his shot starts falling. You may want to give my favorite Hornet, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist ($3,800), a look. He is always under $4K and his defensive stats make him a value lock.
TOP PICK: Rudy Gobert. He is one of the safest plays tonight and I will have him on my teams across the board.
Chicago Bulls at Detroit Pistons -9.5: Total 216.5
This is a great game to play if you pick the right spots. The two can’t-miss Pistons are Andre Drummond ($9,400) and Blake Griffin ($9,600), who hols elite value across three categories apiece. Reggie Jackson ($5,700) is also in a nice spot, though you might want to look for other safer point guard options that fit better. From the Bulls, “Mr. Chucker” Zach LaVine ($8,400) is ready to continue firing away, Wendell Carter Jr. ($4,700) finds himself matched up against one of the worst interior defenders in the league, and Ryan Arcidiacono ($4,400) has proven to be a reliable point guard in Kris Dunn’s absence and deserves a shot against mediocre defense.
TOP PICK: Andre Drummond. He is the cheaper of the frontcourt guys and also the safer to some extent. His value is highly dependant on rebounds, so he should be good in a game against one of the worst offensive teams in the league.
Washington Wizards at Philadelphia 76ers -7.5: Total 235
The prices in this game are not ideal, but there are some players I am interested in. Number one is Joel Embiid ($10,900), who has a very high salary but is very well worth it as he faces a Wizards team with no actual rotation centers. Then we have J.J. Redick ($5,300) who is the perfect shooting compliment for a Sixers team that sometimes struggles with spacing. Finally, Jeff Green ($4,000) should see more than his fair share of minutes with Otto Porter Jr. out tonight.
TOP PICK: Jeff Green. He is one of the most versatile players in the league and I am sure he is ready to step in in Porter’s absence.
Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets +2: Total 207.5
The Nets have the second worst center defense in the league, and it is such a shame that Marc Gasol is listed as a game-time decision for tonight because he would have been a part of multiple lineups if he were healthy. Assuming Gasol sits, Jaren Jackson Jr.($5,800) will most probably slide to the center position to fill in for him. His backcourt teammates Mike Conley ($8,300) and Garrett Temple ($4,100) should continue doing a good job in making shots, though Conley does much more than that. I do not feel like having any Nets due to Memphis’ slow play; maybe I will give Allen Crabbe ($3,700) a shot at the end of my bench with Joe Harris possibly missing this game.
TOP PICK: Nobody. There is uncertainty in this one, so we will have to wait and see.
New Orleans Pelicans at Miami Heat +3.5: Total 228
There are two ways things could tonight: one, Anthony Davis destroys Hassan Whiteside and runs him off the floor with his floor-stretching abilities; or two, Whiteside dominates the paint on both ends and outplays the best big man in the league. Scenario one is more likely than scenario two, but I still do not want to take risks. Instead, I will look for backcourt options from both teams, as neither excel on those areas defensively; Jrue Holiday ($8,700), Tim Frazier ($4,200), Rodney McGruder ($4,800), and Wayne Ellington ($4,400) will all be a part of my DFS squads tonight.
TOP PICK: Jrue Holiday. He should continue to pick up the heavy scoring load in the backcourt and finding teammates open if defenses overcommit.
Atlanta Hawks at Oklahoma City Thunder -13: Total 228.5
This is another game you do not want to mess with, as there is no need to look for value in a game that has “BLOWOUT” written all over it.
TOP PICK: Nobody.
Houston Rockets at San Antonio Spurs +/- EVEN: Total 217
Chris Paul is still questionable for tonight, but it seems more likely he will not play at this point. For as long as CP3 remains out, Houston will be the James Harden ($11,700) show. Clint Capela ($7,800) is providing a nice hand in the paint while James Ennis III ($3,800) has stepped up on the wing. From the Spurs, I am only interested in the big two of DeMar DeRozan ($8,100) and LaMarcus Aldridge ($7,900) and the solid bench production of Marco Belinelli ($3,500).
TOP PICK: James Harden. With Paul apparently scheduled to remain out, Harden will look to make this one a fourth straight night with 65+ DKFPs.
Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns +1: Total 218
The only reason I can see Vegas only giving Orlando a one-point advantage is they think the Magic will feel the effects of traveling, as this will be the fifth straight road game for them, all in a span of only eight days. With lack of rest being a possible factor on some Magic players underperforming, I will stick with safer and cheaper options. Players like D.J. Agustin ($4,300), Terrence Ross ($4,900), and Jonathan Isaac ($4,400) have nice matchups and high ceilings against arguably the worst team in the league. From the Suns, I expect Devin Booker ($8,300) to continue scoring and assisting at a high volume, while teammate Richaun Holmes ($3,600) has become a per-minute beast.
TOP PICK: D.J. Augustin. The Suns are 26th in point guard fantasy points allowed and Augustin fools a lot of people with his size and stats. He can easily have a 15-point, 10-assists night against a team this weak.
Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Lakers -3.5: Total 222.5
The Lakers just played last night, and it took a superhuman effort from LeBron James to keep them in the game before they pulled it off. I plan on having James ($10,600) again tonight, as him and JaVale McGee ($5,000) will be the only Lakers in my lineups. From there, I am interested in Luka Doncic ($7,100) and J.J. Barea ($5,300) who have both done admirable jobs in Dallas’ backcourt. Also, Dorian Finney-Smith ($3,800) has been making noise with cheap salaries, so look for him to continue his hot run.
TOP PICK: LeBron James. This game might end up being closer than L.A. wants, and you know the King just turns on auto-pilot in these situations.
Denver Nuggets at Portland Trail Blazers -2.5: Total 213.5
I suggest keeping it lowkey in this one and not spending much. Evan Turner ($4,200) and Zach Collins ($3,600) continue playing like ever-productive, cheap commodities for Portland, who have allowed the most small forward points in the league. This benefits both Juancho Hernangomez ($4,700), who has been on a tear as of late, and Trey Lyles ($3,700), who occasionally gets minutes at the three and fits perfectly due to his ability to score from virtually anywhere on the court.
TOP PICK: Evan Turner. He may have a very big contract, but he fills holes for the Blazers. His numbers will not jump out of the box score, but he gets it done every night.
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