It was a not so good DFS night yesterday, as LeBron James hurt me badly and my role players were not able to bail me out. It is time to put this one terrible slate in the past and focus on today’s jam-packed 10-game card that features a lot of action and value plays. Part of the process is making a couple of mistakes on the way, so let’s move on and trust the process! Here is your daily breakdown:
Atlanta Hawks at Charlotte Hornets -12.5: Total 233
This is a game in which you want to stack from both ways. Both teams play very little defense, so there is not too much to worry about. From the Hornets’ side, Kemba Walker ($9,300) has made it rain on the Hawks in two previous contests already and he is in a great spot to do so again tonight; Nicolas Batum ($4,800) is available for a good price and has also scored efficiently against Atlanta this year; Cody Zeller ($4,100) faces a center rotation almost as bad as the Hornets’ and he should eat boards tonight with the young Hawks missing way too many shots; and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist ($3,800), who has returned and is perhaps the only above average defender Charlotte has. From Atlanta’s side, Trae Young ($6,600) should have another good game, Kent Bazemore ($4,900) should continue scoring at a high clip, John Collins ($6,100) faces one of the weakest big men rotations in the league and DeAndre Bembry ($4,200) has worked very well as a small forward complementary scorer that also contributes in other categories.
TOP PICK: Kemba Walker. Going elsewhere would be lunacy, as everybody knows the basket in which the eggs are placed.
New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers -12.5: Total 228
The Knicks are on the end of a road back-to-back while the Sixers had two full days of rest and play at home. The spread suggests a blowout, and I thoroughly agree. I am not getting myself into this one as a safety measure.
TOP PICK: Nobody.
Utah Jazz at Brooklyn Nets +3.5: Total 216.5
In what figures to be an interesting inter-conference matchup, there are several value candidates. The Nets have allowed the second most center fantasy points in the league this season, so Rudy Gobert ($7,700) has a super green light. Joe Ingles ($5,900) is a nice two-way contributor; and though his shooting has not been as consistent as it was last season, he is good at this price. Also, Jae Crowder ($4,600) continues to have inconsistent scoring nights but he fills the Jazz’s other needs across the board, something quite valuable. From Brooklyn, Spencer Dinwiddie ($6,200) has been on a tear since Caris LeVert’s injury and will be matched up against the third worst point guard defense in the league. Finally, Joe Harris ($4,100) is a solid scorer that offers some extra stats every now and then; I will easily take him at this price.
TOP PICK: Rudy Gobert. I expect utter dominance from the reigning Defensive Player of the Year, with him also shining on the offensive end.
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets -6.5: Total 216
I dislike the pricing in this one game. Chris Paul’s injury has forced James Harden, Eric Gordon, and Clint Capela into bigger roles over the last two games and their prices have notably increased; with Paul possibly coming back tonight, I do not want to take a risks and suffer the consequences of overpaying. The Mavs had three full days of rest but Luka Doncic is listed as questionable for tonight’s game. Harrison Barnes or Wesley Matthews would be a nice piece to pick up if he was not this expensive, while DeAndre Jordan would be good to go if he was not matched up against Clint Capela and his outstanding defense. The only play I might go with is Dennis Smith Jr. ($5,200) who intends to play in tonight’s game after missing Saturday’s contest and could see the ball in his hands more often if Doncic eventually sits.
TOP PICK: Nobody.
Chicago Bulls at Milwaukee Bucks -14: Total 227
Did you watch what happened in the only previous game between these two teams this season? The 14-point spread tells pretty much the whole story, as the Bulls have a very steep hill to climb. It is up to you if you want to take risks with the likes of Giannis Antetokounmpo, Eric Bledsoe, or Khris Middleton given Coach Bud rarely every overplays his starters when the game is already in their bag. If you want to take some risks, I would rather do it with Zach LaVine and Justin Holiday. Antetokounmpo is a stat-sheet filler, though I’m uncertain he will be able to hit value at $12K tonight.
TOP PICK: Nobody.
San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5: Total 216.5
This one offers a bunch of more expensive options, but all of them are expected to hit value. Karl-Anthony Towns ($9,400) leads the way for the T-Wolves on offense, while Robert Covington ($6,300) is certainly filling the defensive whole Jimmy Butler left on the team; the latter has also been a nice threat from behind the arc, as he has shot almost 40 percent from deep (even despite a recent 0-for-10 shooting night from three against the Bulls). I have especially liked Jeff Teague ($6,100) as of late, as he sticks to his job and delivers good performances consistently. From the Spurs, I will have DeMar DeRozan ($8,500), LaMarcus Aldridge ($8,300), and Rudy Gay ($5,900), the three top San Antonio scoring threats that also have volume contributions on other categories. You could even roster Marco Belinelli ($3,600) as a nice end-of-bench cheap shooter.
TOP PICK: There are multiple candidates here, but I will go with LaMarcus Aldridge. The Wolves allow the third most power forward fantasy points in the league, and LMA did some damage to Minnesota earlier this season.
Washington Wizards at New Orleans Pelicans -6: Total 241.5
The Wizards did win this same matchup four nights ago, but I feel skeptical they will be able to repeat that performance, especially as they hit the road. Thus, give me a bunch of Pelicans, please! Anthony Davis ($11,400), Nikola Mirotic ($6,900), and Jrue Holiday ($8,400) will all be in my lineups. These three assume most of the scoring, playmaking, and rebounding workloads, making them perfect additions to any squad.
TOP PICK: Anthony Davis. Unless AD is injured, he will always be the top pick in whichever game he is in. He is a bonafide superstar and delivers night in and night out.
Cleveland Cavaliers at Oklahoma City Thunder -13: Total 216
I do not think you want to mess with this one either. The Cavs allow the highest field goal percentage in the league and barring a super cold shooting night from OKC (who had three full days of rest), this should be exactly what the spread suggests: a blowout. You can take chances with cheaper guys like Jerami grant ($4,100) or Kyle Korver ($3,500), but nothing much more expensive.
TOP PICK: Nobody.
Orlando Magic at Portland Trail Blazers -8: Total 214.5
Only two-thirds of my Blazers core trio will make an appearance tonight, as Al-Farouq Aminu might be a little too expensive for this one. Evan Turner ($4,100) and Zach Collins ($4,000) are both available for nice prices; Turner is just too expensive and Collins had a career night against the Magic in their previous encounter of the season. Nikola Vucevic ($8,300) and Terrence Ross ($4,400) also punished the Blazers badly on great efficiency in that game, plus look for D.J. Augustin ($4,300) to continue dishing out assists at a high rate.
TOP PICK: Nikola Vucevic. There does not seem to be a way to stop him; head coach Steve Clifford is heavily pushing for the team to continue competing, something that surely fuels the Montenegrin.
Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers -11.5: Total 229
This one looks way too suspect, and with so many other viable options tonight I do not plan on taking unnecessary risks. Maybe cheaper guys like Mikal Bridges ($3,500), Avery Bradley ($3,800), or Richaun Holmes ($3,400) can help your team on the cheap.
TOP PICK: Nobody.
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