With another night of NBA DFS in the books, we are still on a roll. Other than DeMarre Carroll, every top pick hit 6.1x or higher value and it will not be hard to continue making cash at this rate. We are in pure mid-season form with multiple picks on point, so make sure you tune in daily to Draftshot’s NBA Shootaround. Here is your daily breakdown:
Milwaukee Bucks at Charlotte Hornets +5: Total 236
This will be a Bucks stack, as Milwaukee appears to be unstoppable. Opposite to what most people could think, they are far from a one-man band. While Giannis Antetkounmpo ($11,600) often drops 30-point games and dominates the glass, he is not the only Buck with upside. Remember the Hornets have allowed the most point guard and center fantasy points this season, making Eric Bledsoe ($7,200) and Brook Lopez ($4,700) great additions to any team. Malcolm Brogdon ($5,300) has been another great, all-around contributor, and if he remains in this price range he will continue to hold value. From the Hornets, my only play is the cheap Marvin Williams ($3,700), who is still getting increased minutes in Michael Kidd-Gilchrist’s absence and can stretch the floor nicely.
TOP PICK: The Greek Freak. It is crazy to think that somebody can exceed value when they are worth nearly $12K; but if there is one man who can, this is it. Both teams like playing fast, so the context will allow him to continue filling the stat sheets.
Minnesota Timberwolves at Cleveland Cavaliers +6: Total 215
The post-Jimmy Butler era has gone quite well for the Wolves. Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,000) is once again the offensive focal point, Jeff Teague ($6,100) is back to being the top ball-handler and main distributor (as well as a nice off-ball scoring threat), and Robert Covington ($5,900) was the exact role player the team desperately needed. All of these guys, even Derrick Rose ($6,700) who has found a home in Minnesota, are in good spots tonight against a Cavs team that allows opponents to shoot the highest field goal percentage in the league. Given how the Wolves defense is not truly elite, I would bank on Jordan Clarkson ($5,400) and Rodney Hood ($4,200) to continue playing the volume scorers role. Their shot is quite inconsistent, but they are worth a try.
TOP PICK: Towns. He is back to the double-digit salary club at exactly $10K tonight after smashing value in his last game. KAT has 25-13 nightly potential and is on pace to become the league’s best offensive center.
Houston Rockets at Washington Wizards +2.5: Total 224.5
Chris Paul’s status will be key heading into this one. If he sits, both James Harden ($11,400) and Eric Gordon ($4,800) become immediate locks; the former will have the ball in his hands pretty much all game long, while the latter will take Paul’s starting spot and take more shots. Clint Capela ($7,900) is set to face a bum center rotation in this one too, so you can expect a lot of aerial attacks by the Swiss big man. From the Wizards, John Wall is also questionable; Austin Rivers ($3,600) and Tomas Satoransky ($3,500) will see increased minutes if Wall cannot make it. Other than them, uncle Jeff Green ($4,000) is the only other Wizard that intrigues me, as he can literally do it all.
TOP PICK: James Harden. His usage will be across the roof if CP3 decides to watch from the sidelines again, so be on the lookout.
San Antonio Spurs at Chicago Bulls +6: Total 214
The Spurs should steal this one on the road easily, and that should be mainly due to the contributions of LaMarcus Aldridge ($8,100) and DeMar DeRozan ($8,600). Both should score, rebound, and assist appropriately and hit value without much resistance. Jakob Poeltl ($3,200) has played at least 15 minutes in three out of his last four games and done well when given enough playing time. Given this one may be a blowout, I expect to see Poeltl on the floor for at least those same 15 minutes, with 20+ upside. From the Bulls, I will only take Zach LaVine ($7,700) and Justin Holiday ($4,800). LaVine has a very high usage rate, which usually leads to volume fantasy nights, and Holiday is a tough veteran shot-maker who is still somehow under $5K despite playing heavy minutes.
TOP PICK: DeMar DeRozan. He is as safe of a play as we can take from this game, as the Bulls play zero defense.
Boston Celtics at New Orleans Pelicans +1: Total 224
It is a Shootaround tradition to fade Celtics, and things get even more complicated with Anthony Davis’ questionable tag. I am not getting anywhere near this one.
TOP PICK: Nobody.
Indiana Pacers at Utah Jazz -5: Total 206
The key to this game will be Victor Oladipo’s availability. With no Donovan Mitchell on his way, Oladipo – or Cory Joseph – will have a chance to make it rain on the Jazz, who are not looking like the scary team they were last season. Bojan Bogdanovic ($4,700) did well in the team’s recent game against the Jazz, and I expect a repeat. Thaddeus Young ($4,100) is looking like one of the best value players tonight, and he might even get extra time on the court with Domantas Sabonis also listed as questionable. Utah played last night and I do not want to suffer the effects of them not being rested, so I will only have Rudy Gobert ($7,100 – a great price by the way).
TOP PICK: Thaddeus Young. He has nice potential, can play both forward positions for Indiana, and has additional upside with the Pacers possibly missing key players.
Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors -8: Total 215.5
This one is a big trap. The Magic have been rolling lately and the Warriors are doing better after collapsing multiple games without Stephen Curry. KD is too expensive for me tonight, but I will take Klay Thompson ($7,300) and Jonas Jerebko ($4,000). The Magic picks get interesting; Draymond Green is expected to sit out yet another game, clearing the way for Nikola Vucevic ($7,800) to continue dominating the big men battles. Terrence Ross’ price ($4,000) is back down to Earth after exceeding $5K with some nice games. Ross is still the same bench scorer, though he is much more valuable at this price. Finally, the ever-underrated D.J. Augustin ($3,800) is almost single-handedly holding down the Magic’s point guard duties. He is at best a bench option on any other team, but coach Steve Clifford has done a good job of putting him in a position to be productive enough (and at a very cheap price).
TOP PICK: Klay Thompson. He should once again exceed value mainly with his scoring, though he will occasionally add extra stats depending on the game’s flow.
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