Tonight’s 6-game slate has a little bit of everything. That is all I can really say regarding this set of games, so read along to find the best plays today. Here is your daily breakdown:
Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers -3: Total 215
Dwight Howard is a man on a mission in his last couple of games. Did somebody turn back the clock to his Orlando Magic days? What concerns me most is his price. It is over $9,000 and I am not sure you want to pay up for Superman V2. Still, The Pacers are 30th in power forward and 29th in center FPs allowed so he has another solid matchup ahead. Look at both Marvin Williams and Frank Kaminsky, who also lacking defense and could have a good night shooting. Kemba Walker has also played more aggressively lately and it’s paying off, his price is only $8,000, a deal I will take every day. The Hornets are 26th in small forward FPs allowed, so consider Thaddeus Young ($5,700, a good play when he gets run) and Lance Stephenson ($4,700, great off the bench). Even Bojan Bogdanovic can do some damage, so keep him in mind. I expect this game to be close all along, with consistent scoring from both ways.
TOP PICK: I really like the price-upside combo Kemba Walker has tonight in what should be a close high-scoring game.
Minnesota Timberwolves at Atlanta Hawks +5.5: Total 215.5
Do not be afraid of running a couple of Wolves in your lineups tonight. The leader of the pack is Karl-Anthony Towns, with a $9,600 price and performing at an elite level for DFS. Jimmy Butler ($9,400) did not miss a beat in his first game back, and he is still a safe bet against below average defenders and should have a chance at some steals tonight. You could give Taj Gibson a shot; he is not expensive ($5,700) and provides the team a boost with his scoring and defense. Keep an eye on Jeff Teague’s status before tipoff, he is listed as questionable for now. If he sits, Tyus Jones becomes a big value play for $3,600. Speaking about point guards, the Wolves are 28th in point guard FPs allowed so Dennis Schröder appears to be in a good spot with a good $7,200 price.
TOP PICK: If Jeff Teague plays, then I stick with Towns. If Teague sits, Jones is a must-play tonight.
Phoenix Suns at Memphis Grizzlies -: Total
Just two pretty bad teams going at each other. The Suns are 30th in point guard and shooting guard FPs allowed, but with Tyreke Evans possibly missing the game, I have a hard time figuring out who will benefit the most. Memphis’ rotations constantly change, and players are not that consistent either. I would bet on Andrew Harrison ($4,000) or Dillon Brooks ($4,300) and see how that goes, but do not discard Mario Chalmers and Wayne Selden Jr. Devin Booker lit it up for his second 30-point game in his last five, but he has lacked consistency recently and appears frustrated; he’s a coin-flip with upside. The Grizzlies are 27th in center FPs allowed. Tyson Chandler is usually Jay Triano’s go-to big man, so I trust the veteran center and am willing to pay $4,400 for him. The biggest problem in this game is finding consistency; because I could throw names like Josh Jackson or TJ Warren, but their lack of at least solid consistent play is very concerning to me.
TOP PICK: This has to be Tyson Chandler. There is a lot of uncertainty regarding the rest of the players, but Coach T loves the vet.
Philadelphia 76ers at Milwaukee Bucks -: Total
This is the matchup everyone has been waiting for. Giannis Antetokounmpo costs $11,000, and his recent performances suggest it is not a bad idea to draft him tonight. His matchup is not too bad either, so consider spending big. Khris Middleton needs to exploit the shooting guard issues in Philly, and I trust him to do so. He costs $7,100 and I feel like he could be a big steal tonight if he gets the shot going. Also, if JJ Redick sits tonight, Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot should continue getting good minutes for a low price ($4,200). Joel Embiid is another player with strong outings lately but with an expensive salary. $9,800 is not bad, so check if he fits your budget in a nice matchup with MIL. The Bucks are 28th in small forward FPs allowed, and Robert Covington ($5,900) could deliver one of those great all-around games for a bargain price.
TOP PICK: Khris Middleton. I think he is the safest player with the biggest upside.
Miami Heat at Dallas Mavericks +1.5: Total 196.5
I do not expect this game to be as close or as low scoring as Vegas points, but let us start looking at the players. This is a good opportunity to draft Hassan Whiteside, who should be low-owned and has a good $7,700 price. I am really liking what Wayne Ellington brings to the table. His price is not bad, $5,100 for the sharpshooter. I expect good things from Harrison Barnes ($6,100); he is supposed to be the leader offensively and Miami does not have any stud small forward defenders. Wesley Matthews ($5,200) is another candidate deserving of a spot. I feel like Dennis Smith Jr. can do big things against Miami, and taking this mini-risk for $6,000 could be worth it. I hope Kelly Olynyk still has the green light to rack up as many stand-still jumpers as he likes because that strategy has worked out well for him and the team. Olynyk costs $5,200 and is a solid bench option.
Boston Celtics at Denver Nuggets -1: 204.5
Will the Celtics survive in the mile-high city? Nikola Jokic recorded a triple-double last game, yet his price still went down. Jokic may be one of the few Nuggets worth drafting against the best defense in the league. The biggest problem with this is that the Celtics scare me away from picking many Nuggets, but at the same time picking Celtics concerns me because their offense is average at best. They really struggle to score without Kyrie on the floor. Your best option from Boston is still Kyrie Irving, whose price is $8,800 and is a solid option for your team. I also have my eye on Marcus Morris ($4,800), one of the very few bright spots offensively for Boston. Jaylen Brown should pick up more minutes than usual with Marcus Smart out and Terry Rozier questionable. $5,500 for him, and if both Smart and Rozier sit, I will get him for sure.
TOP PICK: Next question? Seriously, I hope Nikola Jokic attacks the porous center defense in Denver. He is my only real hope from this game for a breakout performance.
*All matchup rankings are according to statistics over the teams’ last five games.
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