It was an interesting week for sure. The BC Lions offense was a complete dud while Ricky Ray turned back the clock with Marc Trestman as head coach. What did we learn week one?
– Injuries are going to be a factor in week 2. Lots of guys were injured in week one and who is going to be available to play in week 2 is going have an effect on how I build my lineups this week.
– The Agros, have receivers that need to be in your lineups.
– The stars don’t always pay off. Johnathan Jennings, Manny Arceneaux, and Adarious Bowman all disappointed.
Ottawa Redbacks at Calgary Stampeders Thursday, June 29th Stamps favored by 8 over/ under 58.5
Weather in Calgary 20 degrees with a slight wind
This is a rematch of the best game for offense last week
Injuries: Taylor Reed right arm stinger returned to play; William Powell RB leg
Trevor Harris looked like a top flight starting QB in this league against the Stamps last week and I expect him to look similar in week 2. He is your contrarian QB this week as he is a road underdog. He defiantly can repeat his 300 yards passing and 3 TD passes of week 1.
William Powell looked good early in the game. He caught a TD and a 2-point convert but spent the second half on the sideline after walking off the field with a limp. He gave way to Canadian Brendan Gillanders who was serviceable in his replacement with 12 carries and a catch. Look for Mossis Madu to start in place of Powell.
Brad Sinopoli and Greg Ellingson both had 8 catches each almost half of the passes Harris completed but no TDs. I except one or both those these guys to score and both to duplicate their catches and yards from week one. I like the idea of Harris, Sinopoli, and Ellingson as a GPP contrarian stack.
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Injuries: Calgary were missing two of their starters in their secondary last week Smith ( on the 6 game injured list and Campbell (but he should be back) also Jamar Wall went down in the second half but returned. If these guys are back this week the RedBlacks passing game gets a downgrade. WR DaVaris Daniels injured right leg. Roy Finch out, suspended for violating the league’s drug policy.
Bo Levi Mitchell looked in mid-season form and so did his o-line. The Redblacks sacked the Mitchell a grand total of 0 times and really didn’t seem to get a hand on him. He threw for 376 and 2 TDs. I expect Mitchell to match or maybe improve on his numbers from last week. I think the Stamps will finally beat the RedBlacks using their home field advantage.
Messam looked okay and if you used him in your lineups last week you were probably a little relieved when he scored late in the game. The Stamps used a lot of play action last week. Were they setting up something for this week?
WR: It looks like the Stamps are going to be without DaVaris Daniels which will give a bump to Marquay McDaniel. I really like him and he will be in my cash lineups this week. As for who is going to get the extra targets with Daniels out? It is going to be either Durant or Parker that will move into his short side WR spot and that is going to be the value guy to add to your lineups.
BC Lions at Toronto Argonauts Friday, June 30th Argos are favored by 1 over/ under is 51
Weather warm, windy and a chance of thunderstorms during the game
Johnathan Jennings was not what we expect last week at home. This week he travels to Toronto to play a team that was also not as expected. The Agros gave the TiCats passing game fits and it didn’t really get going until the 4th quarter when the game was pretty well out of reach. I am going to fade Jennings this week and hope that the Agros defense are what we saw last week.
Jeremiah Johnson was about what I thought he would be last week. This week I expect him to be downgraded as the Argos LB core should scare the Lions into reducing his touches and reducing his production. Chris Rainy looked like the most dangerous kick returner last week but at his price, he is a fade. If you want a piece of the Lions return game I suggest going with the Lions defense. Remember that Argos had two field goals blocked last week and they threw a lot, giving lots of opportunities for sacks and interceptions.
The Lions receivers disappointed last week and I think I am going to fade them as well if you are looking for a value upside guy Nic Moore should be low owned and has the potential to score but as I write this I am not sure I really like him either.
Injuries: Josh Mitchell HB
Ricky Ray had one of the best games of his career on Sunday and surprised many. I expect his ownership to go up this week and his production to go down. I won’t have any shares of Ray this week.
Brandon Whitaker got even less useful than I thought he would and I recommended fading him. We learned last week that the Argos want to throw the ball down field and I expect that they are going to continue to try to do that against the Lions on Friday.
SJ Green looked like SJ Green week one in 2010 making many highlights catches. I expect the Lions to focus on shutting him down as TJ Lee and Ronnie Yell should be better prepared for him now that the Argos have played a game. The Lions started a rookie Canadian at wide side corner and Duke Williams and Zylstra took advantage of him. If Anthony Thompson is on the wide corner again look for the Agros to target him as well. I like Posey and Fuller in this game. Posey really impressed me last week looking very sure handed with 7 catches. Fuller should have had an even bigger game last week as he dropped two passes including what should have been a TD.
Montreal Alouettes at Edmonton Eskimoes Edmonton is favored by 8 points over under is 48
Weather looks fine
Injuries: Travis Hawkins DB (neck) DB Johnathon Mincey returned; HB Greg Henderson broken hand.
Darian Durant looked regular in a low scoring game last week. If he is going to reach value it is likely going to be in garbage time as I expect the Esks offense to have the ball most of the game.
Tyrell Sutton likely will struggle to match his 10 DK points last week as I expect the Als to fall behind early in this game and be forced to throw the ball.
WR: Last week I recommended BJ Cunningham as a one off. This week I like Ernest Jackson.
Injuries: J.C Sherritt Achilles; Almondo Sewell are (returned)
Mike Reilly looked great last week against the Lions, just imagine what he is going to look like against the Als banged up secondary at home.
John White should get lots of opportunities again this week as the Esks should be playing from ahead. He is a good cash game option this week.
This core was every impressive last week against a very good BC Lions defense. Duke Williams is a stud. Last week he took advantage of a rookie Canadian DB for 4 catches 110 yards and a TD! Heck, Nic Dempski had a big game from the same position last week against Montreal just imagine what Duke Williams is going to do! Andraius Bowman was a disappointment last week, to say the least. Look for the Eskimos to look to get him going this week. Then Brandon Zylstra had 7 catches for 152 yards. I think Zylstra is as safe a cash game play as you can get even with all the depth the Esks have. When looking to stack two receivers for gpps I like Bowman and Williams.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Saskatchewan Roughriders Saturday, July 1st Winnipeg is favored by 1 point the over / under is 49
Weather looks fine
Winnipeg Blue Bombers
Matt Nichols is just pretty regular and I don’t see him reaching the value of the top QBs. Especially considering all the value available at WR this week I don’t see any reason to put him in your lineups.
Andrew Harris is the most dynamic RB in the league and if you are going to spend up at RB he needs to be the RB you pay up for this week.
Darvin Adams is the guy I am going to recommend this week. He was great in the first half of last season before getting hurt and returned at the end of the season to be even more effective. Dressler may be more talented than Adams but he has a habit of getting hurt.
Kevin Glenn was serviceable as QB leading the Riders offense. He is pretty much in the same situation as Nichols. He likely won’t reach the level as Mitchell, Reilly and the other guys are better contrarian picks.
If you are thinking of going value this is where to look. Cameron Marshall got the start last week in place of injured Keenan Lafrance. I don’t think it really matters who starts. This is where the value is.
I may as well just copy and paste this part of my last week’s article here. I don’t think there are going to be enough opportunities for any of these guys to put up some big numbers. Duron Carter had only 2 catches, Roosevelt the Riders best receiver had 13 DK points. The star last week was surprisingly Nic Demski with the depth in this core I don’t see him repeating his performance. I think the best way to play these guys would be to stack two of them into a GPP play and hope that works for you. Oh, and don’t forget about Bakari Grant.
Good Luck in week 2 everyone! Don’t forget to check me out on the podcast.
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